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Financial Statements

Notes 16-20

17 FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

Fair values of financial assets and financial liabilities

Set out below is a comparison by category of carrying values and fair values of all the Group’s financial assets and financial liabilities as at 31 December 2007, 31 December 2006 and 31 December 2005. None of the financial assets or financial liabilities have been reclassified during the year.

Designated
at fair
value
$m
Derivatives and
other items at
fair value
$m
Available
for sale
$m
Held for
trading
$m
Amortised
cost
$m
Total
carrying
value
$m
Fair
value
$m
2007
Cash and cash equivalents 5,867 5,867 5,867
Overdrafts (140) (140) (140)
Loans due within one year (4,140) (4,140) (4,140)
Loans due after more than one year (1,090) (1,544) (8,242) (10,876) (11,235)
Derivative assets 67 19 86 86
Other investments 182 31 60 273 273
Other financial assets 5,973 5,973 5,973
Other financial liabilities (8,070) (8,070) (8,070)
2006
Cash and cash equivalents 7,103 7,103 7,103
Overdrafts (114) (114) (114)
Loans due within one year (22) (22) (22)
Loans due after more than one year (1,087) (1,087) (1,087)
Derivative assets 27 45 72 72
Other investments 37 82 26 559 704 704
Other financial assets 4,794 4,794 4,794
Other financial liabilities (6,729) (6,729) (6,729)
2005
Cash and cash equivalents 4,979 4,979 4,979
Overdrafts (84) (84) (84)
Loans due within one year (6) (6) (6)
Loans due after more than one year (1,111) (1,111) (1,111)
Derivative assets 49 10 59 59
Other investments 100 156 16 1,549 1,821 1,821
Other financial assets 4,134 4,134 4,134
Other financial liabilities (5,847) (5,847) (5,847)

Credit risk increased the fair value of the bonds designated as fair value through profit and loss by $23m for the year and by $21m since designation. Changes in credit risk had no material effect on any other financial assets and liabilities recognised at fair value in the financial statements. The change in fair value attributable to changes in credit risk is calculated as the change in fair value not attributable to market risk.

The methods and assumptions used to estimate the fair values of financial instruments are as follows:

Net gains and losses on financial assets and financial liabilities

2007
$m
2006
$m
2005
$m
Included in operating profit
(Losses)/gains on forward foreign exchange contracts (59) 168 (61)
Gains/(losses) on receivables and payables 108 (179) 85
(Losses)/gains on investments designated at fair value through profit and loss (1) (13) 34
(Losses)/gains on available for sale financial assets (21) 5 (15)
27 (19) 43
Included in finance income and expense
Interest and fair value adjustments in respect of debt designated
at fair value through profit and loss, net of derivatives
(22) (59) (48)
Interest and changes in carrying values of debt designated as hedged items, net of derivatives (28)
Interest and fair value changes on fixed and short-term deposits and equity securities 344 368 212
Interest on debt, overdrafts and commercial paper held at amortised cost (436) (11) (19)
Exchange (losses)/gains on financial assets and liabilities (3) (14) 5
(145) 284 150

$49m fair value gains on hedging instruments and $52m fair value losses on the hedged items have been included within interest and changes in carrying values of debt designated as hedged items, net of derivatives.

$70m of losses on financial assets and liabilities have been taken directly to equity (2006 $20m, 2005 $10m).

Liquidity risk

The maturity profile of the anticipated future cash flows including interest in relation to the Group’s non-derivative financial liabilities, on an undiscounted basis and which, therefore, differs from both the carrying value and fair value, is as follows:

Bank overdrafts
and other loans
$m
Bonds
$m
Trade, other
payables and
provisions $m
Total
$m
Within one year 4,305 619 7,355 12,279
In one to two years 1,259 715 1,974
In two to three years 1,679 1,679
In three to four years 532 532
In four to five years 2,255 2,255
In more than five years 13,356 13,356
4,305 19,700 8,070 32,075
Effect of interest (25) (8,857) (8,882)
Effect of discounting, fair values and issue costs 33 33
31 December 2007 4,280 10,876 8,070 23,226

Market risk

Interest rate risk

The interest rate profile of the Group’s interest bearing financial instruments, as at 31 December 2007 and at 31 December 2006 are set out below. In the case of non-current financial liabilities, the classification includes the impact of interest rate swaps which convert the debt to floating rate.

2007 2006
Total
$m
Fixed rate
$m
Floating rate
$m
Total
$m
Fixed rate
$m
Floating rate
$m
Financial liabilities
Interest bearing loans and borrowings
Current 4,280 4,280 136 136
Non-current 10,876 7,594 3,282 1,087 1,087
15,156 7,594 7,562 1,223 1,223
Financial assets
Fixed deposits 60 60 559 559
Cash and cash equivalents 5,867 5,867 7,103 7,103
5,927 5,927 7,662 7,662

In addition to the financial assets above, there are $6,272m (2006 $5,011m) of other current and non-current asset investments and other financial assets on which no interest is received.

Foreign currency risk

Transactional exposure

100% of the Group’s major transactional currency exposures on working capital balances, which typically extend for up to three months, are hedged, where practicable, using forward foreign exchange contracts. As a result, as at 31 December 2007 and 31 December 2006, there were no material monetary assets or liabilities in currencies other than the functional currencies of the Group companies concerned, having taken into account the effect of forward exchange currency contracts that have been used to match foreign currency exposures.

Translational exposure

During the year there was no significant change in our risk position in relation to the cash flows of the Group’s principal six currency exposures (sterling, Swedish krona, euro, Australian dollar, Japanese yen and Canadian dollar). During the year, foreign currency loans have been designated as hedges on retranslation of net investments in foreign operations.

Sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity analysis set out below summarises the sensitivity of the market value of our financial instruments to hypothetical changes in market rates and prices. The range of variables chosen for the sensitivity analysis reflects our view of changes which are reasonably possible over a one year period. Market values are the present value of future cash flows based on market rates and prices at the valuation date. For long term debt, an increase in interest rates results in a decline in the fair value of debt.

The sensitivity analysis assumes an instantaneous 100 basis point change in interest rates in all currencies from their levels at 31 December 2007, with all other variables held constant. Based on the composition of our long term debt portfolio as at 31 December 2007, a 1% increase in interest rates would result in an additional $75m in interest expense being incurred per year. The exchange rate sensitivity analysis assumes an instantaneous 10% change in foreign currency exchange rates from their levels at 31 December 2007, with all other variables held constant. The +10% case assumes a 10% strengthening of the US dollar against all other currencies and the -10% case assumes a 10% weakening of the US dollar.

31 December 2007

+1% Interest rates
-1%
+10% Exchange rates
-10%
Increase/(decrease) in fair value of financial instruments 666 (779) 165 (165)
Impact on income statement: gain/(loss) (37) 37
Impact on equity: gain/(loss) 202 (202)

31 December 2006

+1% Interest rates
-1%
+10% Exchange rates
-10%
Increase/(decrease) in fair value of financial instruments (185) 185
Impact on income statement: gain/(loss) (104) 104
Impact on equity: gain/(loss) (81) 81

31 December 2005

+1% Interest rates
-1%
+10% Exchange rates
-10%
Increase/(decrease) in fair value of financial instruments (113) 113
Impact on income statement: gain/(loss) (67) 67
Impact on equity: gain/(loss) (46) 46

Credit risk

The maximum exposure to credit risk for trade receivables at the reporting date by geographic region was:

2007
$m
2006
$m
2005
$m
US 1,961 1,491 1,305
United Kingdom 425 397 320
Sweden 260 242 176
Euro-zone countries 901 771 633
Other European countries 247 171 143
Japan 771 647 621
Other countries 761 569 566
5,326 4,288 3,764

The aging of trade receivables at the reporting date was:

2007
$m
2006
$m
2005
$m
Not past due 4,930 3,966 3,481
Overdue but renegotiated 120 86 58
Past due 0-90 days 79 83 50
Past due 90-180 days 99 62 37
Past due > 180 days 98 91 138
5,326 4,288 3,764

The allowance for doubtful debts has been calculated based on past experience and is in relation to specific customers. Given the profile of our customers, including large wholesalers and government backed agencies, no further credit risk has been identified with the trade receivables not past due other than those balances for which an allowance has been made.

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